Separate facts, predictions and interpretations · D8.8

Separate the assumptions in a chain of reasoning

Several linked assumptions make a situation seem to have only one outcome.

Everyday practice

Try these steps

1. Write the chain as separate sentences: ‘If this, then that, which would mean…’.
2. Mark which links are observed facts, predictions, preferences, or assumptions.
3. Choose one link to question or investigate rather than trying to resolve the whole chain at once.

An example

If I ask a question, they may think I am unprepared; I am predicting that reaction, not observing it.

Reflect

Which link has the strongest evidence, and which is uncertain?

Next time

Return to one link at a time if useful.